The special election for New York's 26th district is this Tuesday. And the latest poll has Democrat Kathy Hochul taking a lead over Republican Jane Corwin by 4 points among likely voters.It's a complicated election. A referendum on Medicare, of sorts.
Hochul 42%, Corwin 38%, Davis 9%, Murphy 1%.
Key point. Hochul has jumped 11 points since the last poll, pretty much all from Davis. So the Tea Party candidate is faltering and his support is swinging overwhelmingly to Hochul.
But also an election where the Tea Party candidate is pulling voters away, presumably from the Republican. For some reason, Jane Corwin let last year's very, very, very failed Republican candidate (and Tea Partier) for NY Governor, Carl Paladino, speak on her behalf this week. He only garnered 34% of the vote last November against Andrew Cuomo. Watch the clip -- it's says a lot, and not just about what's going on in economically devastated Western New York.
If Jack Davis really falters on Election Day, and Hochul still wins, I will be proud of NY-26. I wear my affection for Western New York on my sleeve, having lived in the neighboring district in Buffalo for some years. It is only recently that my denial has let me come to accept just how Republican NY-26 really is.
We'll be following the live-blogging on Tuesday night. And probably eating Buffalo chicken wings. And drinking Genessee beer, if we can find it. And hopefully, rejoicing in the good people of NY-26 coming to their senses, and stopping the nonsense of continually voting against their own best interest.
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